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The Illinois Fighting Illini (19-6, 14-9-2 ATS, 17-8 O/U) meet the Penn State Nittany Lions (12-14, 12-14 ATS, 16-10 O/U) in a Big Ten bout on Wednesday evening. The Fighting Illini earned a road win against Maryland on Saturday. The Nittany Lions lost a road bout against Nebraska in their previous clash. Penn State went 3-0 against Illinois last season.
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Illinois Earns 10th Conference Win
The Illinois Fighting Illini are seeking their 11th conference win of the season. Illinois is one of the best squads in the Big Ten. They are in second place, only 1.5 games out of first. Illinois has won four of its last five games. The only loss in that span was an 88-80 road loss against Michigan State. They beat Michigan 97-68 on Wednesday and were three-point favorites in an 85-80 road win against Maryland on Saturday to climb to 10-3 in conference play. The Fighting Illini have covered the spread in three of their last five games.
Terrence Shannon Jr. is having an incredible season. The senior guard has scored at least 23 points in four of his last five games including 28 against Michigan State. He has delivered an average of 21.4 PPG on the year. Marcus Domask is in a groove. He has shot at least 50% in four of his last five clashes. The senior forward has recorded an average of 15.6 PPG and 4.8 RPG. Quincy Guerrier has scored 10 or fewer points in three of his last five games. The senior forward is posting an average of 10.6 PPG.
This is 2,000.#Illini | #HTTO | #EveryDayGuys pic.twitter.com/VPCLH6WCxK
— Illinois Men's Basketball (@IlliniMBB) February 18, 2024
The Fighting Illini are ranked 9th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and climbed two spots to #12 in the previous edition of the AP Top 25. They are only 4-4 on the road this season. Illinois has scored at least 80 points in five straight games and is scoring an average of 83.1 points on the season, good for 21st. They are conceding an average of 70.7 points, placing them at 145th.
Penn State Hit with Third Straight Loss
The Penn State Nittany Lions are looking to end a losing streak. The squad has lost three consecutive games due to poor shooting. Their last win was on February 8th against Iowa. They were hit with an 80-72 loss to Michigan State on Thursday and were marked 8.5 point dogs in an ugly 68-49 road loss against Nebraska on Saturday to dip to 6-9 in Big Ten play. The Nittany Lions have covered the spread in three of their last five games.
Kanye Clary is slumping, netting 13 or fewer points in each of his last five bouts. The sophom*ore guard has come through with plenty of outstanding performances and is sporting an average of 16.7 PPG on the season. Ace Baldwin Jr. has netted at least 15 points in four of his last five games. The senior guard posted 10 points on Saturday and has issued an average of 14 PPG on 39% shooting. Nick Kern Jr. has shot at least 50% in three of his last five clashes. The junior guard is now averaging 8.2 PPG on a 55% mark from the field.
That was nice from Ace. 👌@yeah_ace3 x @PennStateMBB pic.twitter.com/59QqJm3bJl
— Penn State On BTN (@PennStateOnBTN) February 17, 2024
Penn State is marked 93rd in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and has issued a solid 10-4 record home. Penn State is averaging 74.8 points on the season, ranking them 155th. They have allowed at least 71 points in three of their last five bouts and are squandering an average of 73.3 points, pegging them 230th.
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Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Rating:
The Illinois Fighting Illini continue to shine, winning five of their last six games. This includes road wins against Ohio State and Maryland. The Penn State Nittany Lions are struggling, dropping three straight games.
Furthermore, Illinois is one of the best offensive squads in the entire country. They are averaging a remarkable 123.5 points per 100 possessions, ranking them fifth in DI compared to only 111.2 points per 100 by Penn State. The Fighting Illini are the better defensive squad, conceding 3.3 fewer points per 100 than the Nittany Lions. Illinois is winning by big margins. Five of the Fighting Illini's last seven wins have occurred by at least eight points.
Prediction: Illinois Fighting Illini -8
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Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Rating:
I expect a barrage of scoring. Illinois is piling on the points. They have netted at least 80 points in four of their last five games including 85 in their previous road game. The Nittany Lions have been exploited, squandering at least 79 points in four consecutive home games.
In addition, Penn State will contribute to this total. These squads each play at a quicker pace and each attempts an average of 24 threes per game. Penn State is productive at home, averaging a solid 78.8 points in their last five home bouts. The over is a convincing 9-1 in the Illini’s last ten games.
Prediction: Over 158
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"
Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.
